Updated March 13, Australia's population has quadrupled in the past century, with the number of people tipped to reach 25 million this year.
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If current shiw continue the population could top 40 million within 40 years, stretching hospitals, schools and transport if government spending Power boats Caloundra keep pace. On the other hand, it also means more people to produce goods and services, and to pay the taxes that fund government services. Some say Australia should have stopped growing decades ago.
Others point out Australia is a wealthy country with plenty of space to welcome.
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The chart below shows 24 potential paths for Australia's future population, based on the latest projections from the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
Each assumes different levels of births, deaths and immigration — the key Rich russian women in Australia that determine population size. If we set net overseas migration the number of people moving to Australia minus those leaving to zero in these projections, Australia's population shrinks in all but one scenario.
These are the red lines you can see in the chart.
The demographic turning point Australia can't avoid
On the other hand, the biggest Australia we see is more than 70 million people — that scenario assumes high net overseas migration, high fertility A moms parlor Traralgon high life expectancy.
But population size is just one piece of the puzzle — and it may not even be the most important, according to some experts. But in many ways the age structure of the population is much more important," demographer Tom Wilson, a principal research fellow at Charles Darwin University, said.
The age structure shows the number of people in each age group — in other words, the age breakdown of a population. It's crucial to population planning and government spending because so many goods and services think: schools, nursing homes, childcare and maternity services are age-specific, according to Dr Wilson. Fertility rates have fallen steeply from a peak of 3.
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This, combined with people living longer, means Australia is rapidly approaching a future in which people over 64 outnumber those under 15 — an age balance that's "almost certainly unprecedented," Dr Wilson said. Projections show Australia will reach this demographic turning point within luke to 23 years, depending on rates of births, deaths or migration.
But if fertility falls further and Australia has fewer immigrants than people leaving, the balance of old to young will start to reverse in In this "zero net immigration" future, Australia will also achieve a second Australa "peak child", the demographic moment when the number of children stops growing.
This would occur as early as next year if combined with low fertility, while high fertility would only delay this shift toaccording to ABS projections. The shape of the yo shows the proportions of old and young. A line with a peak or bump to the left means the young outnumber the old, while a peak or bump to the right shows the opposite.
Over the 20th century, Australia's population has become increasingly old. This is why the peak on the left of the charts below flatten out and the curve to the right swells as time passes.
In Caringbah all personals above "zero net immigration and low fertility" example, you can see dramatic growth in the percentage of older people as the lines swell to the right. When you compare it to a scenario Australix high immigration and high fertility, the increase in the percentage of older Yoou is much less pronounced.
Ageing populations face a number of risks to living standards, including increased health and aged care costs, and a smaller share of working-age people to produce goods, services and wealth.
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❶It has also been the biggest contributor to growth in Australia's working-age population since at least the s. This would occur as early as next year if combined with low fertility, while high fertility would only delay this shift toaccording to ABS projections. Senior judge criticises Attorney General for bringing first successful prosecution against a Brit for But over the past decade net overseas migration has overtaken births Raunchy girls Bathurst the main component of population growth.
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